feat(bench): fit difficulty from a played round, and report when it cannot

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refit-weights regresses the weights select-50 scores with against what agents
actually experienced, so a round of play is a flag on the next selection rather
than an edit. Ridge, because seven collinear features on fifty levels otherwise
hand back large coefficients that cancel.

Most of the work here is in refusing to produce a number. The response averages
the difficulty rating with two continuous measures of the same thing, and a
component with no spread is dropped by name instead of being silently averaged
in as zeros — which is what the first version did, reporting R² = 0.75 for a
fit that never saw a rating. When the rating is flat the script now says so and
says what the remaining fit is really measuring, which is board size.

legibility() asks what it costs to know what you may tap: how far the eye must
follow the cheapest free piece, and how many pieces are held by somebody their
line never touches. It was built to explain why ratings came back flat. It does
not — it correlates -0.02 with them — so it stays a measurement, printed on the
review sheet beside the longest route on the board, and gates nothing.

prototype-d5 takes --seedFrom so a wide sweep shards across cores.

Co-Authored-By: Claude Opus 5 <noreply@anthropic.com>

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cabinw

2026-09-14 17:03:43 +08:00

co-authored by Claude Opus 5

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